I've been talking with a few members today specifically about financials and my general thought has been, "Lets see if XLF can hold its gains today, I don't think it can". This would make a FAZ entry or add to or even a current position very interesting.
As I suspected from early charts, it doesn't look like XLF / Financials will hold gains, in fact it appears they have been distributed in to today's price strength which may be part of an op-ex max pain pin.
The charts...
XLF / Financials 60 min chart with a deep leading negative divegrence, far worse than the September high negative.
Intraday it doesn't look like XLF is holding gains well, much less momentum with distribution obvious, I suspect today's move was largely op-ex max pain related.
2 min chart with negatives in to last Friday and in line on the Black Friday week (last), with a close to in line oversold bounce this week with weakness and today's increasing WEAKNESS
3 min chart migration , in line on the week of Black Friday with the same negative market wide last Friday-actual Black Friday with Monday carnage and in line this week on Monday's oversold/selling climax with a leading negative divegrence in to today's move that never reached confirmation.
3 min intraday
5 min negative hitting a new low on the divegrence
And the larger 10 min trend since the October lows.
I still like FAZ-3x short Financials quite a bit.
Is interest rates about to start going up?
-
Yes, I know - it does not make any sense - FED is about to cut
rates...but....real world interest rates are not always what FED wants it
to be.
5 years ago
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