The only unfinished business is UNG. The trade is precarious, but it did hold the line in the sand I drew last night. Here are a few charts and we do have a few positive divergences suggesting upside tomorrow and that may build.
Above is the Trend Channel I use for stops, UNG held the line today which was very encouraging
This is a 2-day 3C chart and very significant in the leading upside divergence or extreme accumulation
This is a 1-dy 3C chart written with different code, but the same leading divergence
The 15 min 3C chart suggests the downside is over as accumulation has begun again
The 10 min chart confirms this as does the 5 min chart below.
Here is my proprietary crossover system, all 3 parts of the system still are calling this a long trade. As I mentioned, note the first pullback to the 10-day moving average in yellow and the second to the 22 day in blue, I see this time and time again. Also MACD is positive and the VWAP is in good position as the average price paid over the last 30 days weighted by volume is just above $7.50 (VWAP in red, the top window is a 10 day ma in yellow, 22 day in blue, the middle window is a custom indicator in yellow and it's moving average in blue. With MACD in white is a 22 period RSI which is above 50. All 3 components are needed to place a long position and hold it. Despite the volatility, I continue to believe in this trade. I think it is at an excellent Risk:reward level to initiate a long trade in UNG or to add to it.
Look for updates tomorrow as the market events unfold. I'll be adding selective shorts, but for the most part we already have everything we need to take advantage of the market's stance. Trades will be issued as opportunities arise, most will be quick counter trend trades, there may be some tomorrow night listed. Keep an eye on the site.
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