Tuesday, February 10, 2015

A.M. Update

After a quiet overnight session with more bad Chinese data , this time in the form of CPI inflation data at .8 Y.O.Y. which is essentially deflation, this morning's ramp is brought to you by none other than Greece.

Specifically it was the pivot to Russia for funding or rather the threat, but the one I didn't see coming was the additional threat of funding from China. It is said the EU is working frantically on a bridge loan to ward off this possibility, although likely a trial balloon , it was enough to get some risk in the market, although this hasn't been confirmed officially and some have even denied it, Greece knows how to p;lay chicken.

Now what will be interesting is to see what VXX does with the downtick it looked to be trying to create yesterday, accumulation? I suspect we will see accumulation in VXX and likely TLT.

Here's the ramp up on the news, although not as enthusiastic as you might expect...
ES 1 min

There are already some negative signs in NQ and TF and USD/JPY which lifted Index futures has a negative divergence in it, although because of the sudden fundamental nature of the news, it's not surprising.

USD/JPY ramp this morning on Greece with a negative divegrence.

Like yesterday, TLT, HYG and VXX will tell us how close we are to making a turn lower, at least today should be much more exciting than yesterday.

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