This has been more of a short term (Lever), but one I've been watching for, HYG intraday distribution.
Yesterday and the day before I mentioned JUNK credit was already seeing this distribution, Junk credit trades almost exactly like HYG, but since it's not an arbitrage asset, it sometimes has a more accurate signal.
Now HYG is following the lead that was apparent in JNK a couple of days ago.
I'll take a look at Leading Indicators in a moment, but it looks like all of the short term timeframes I have been waiting for before entering anything too serious are now starting to come together pretty quickly this morning.
HYG 1 min saw strong distribution as a lot of other assets at the same area this morning
HYG 2 min
HYG 3 min at the same location this morning.
HYG 10 min is a bigger and much more important timeframe.
Here's JNK
This started earlier- 2 min
JNK 3 min leading negative divegrence
JNK 10 min.
This is a significant signal
Is interest rates about to start going up?
-
Yes, I know - it does not make any sense - FED is about to cut
rates...but....real world interest rates are not always what FED wants it
to be.
5 years ago
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