4 hour SPY
60 min SPY isn't really scaled properly, it's as far back as I can go with history though. The first bad negative divegrence here is January and then a decline, this is when we saw late Jan (28th) accumulation in to early February launching the Feb. cycle which was entirely retraced in both the QQQ and IWM, however the SPY/SPX carried on with a 3-month range, this is when in May I suspected there was little possibility of the SPY making a significant downside move before that obvious range was taken out, shortly after the bear flag with accumulation formed mid-May (15th-19th-flag portion) which we expected to see a Crazy Ivan creating a bear trap and short squeeze which is what jump-started the move to the break above the top of the range as expected earlier in May as well as the psychological SPX $1900 level in the same place. In this configuration, creating demand to sell/short in to is the purpose of a head fake and they tend to be both proportional (compared to the 3-month range) and extreme as they have to swing sentiment to overwhelmingly bullish to create the demand that is their very purpose
*See the first bear market rally of 1929, lasting 5 months it was almost twice as long as the initial break in the Dow (1929) with a +50% gain over that period, again its purpose, before plunging to 6 more new lows until 1932 was to swing sentiment by making a believable move that people would buy.
Dow 1929, after a nearly 8-year rally , the "Roaring 20's" and the initial break only lasting 2-months, the 5 month/ +50% counter-trend rally would have been believable.
The 1929 crash and following several years with at least 5 counter-trend rallies during this period.
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15 min chart
10 min
A closer view of the 10 min with focus on the F_O_M_C period.
The 3 min chart showing the severe damage done the week 6/9 to 13 as expected the Friday before and the subsequent , non-confirmed F_O_M_C 1-day knee-jerk reaction.
The 2 min chart at the same area, also non-confirmation on some of the shortes/fastest timeframes.
And the 1 min chart with the severe damage done the preceding week in to the following week's F_O_M_C knee jerk move.
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