Wednesday, August 25, 2010

USO

Being the Dollar is still positive compared to yesterday and this am's report, something is quite clearly driving USO higher. Of course I have little doubt that it is the accumulated position in USO by smart money. On a small scale, we'd call this stage 2 "mark up". At some point smart money starts selling into demand, I don't see that yet and not surprisingly.


As you can see, we are 1 cent (the open) from what is now a bullish engulfing pattern.

Since accumulation was first spotted about a week ago (we have no idea where the main purchases were made so we can not figure out their true average cost), I have set up a 7 day VWAP which gives you the average price paid according to volume over the last seven days. It could be a rough target.
Here's the 1-min chart of the QQQQ-obviously there's a leading divergence so it does not appear as if there is any distribution into the move thus far.

3 comments:

Mr Pink said...

Hi Brandt,

Any chance you can post a 1 day 3C chart for the oil price (via a proxy) to see 'the picture of where the oil price is going? Thanks!

Mr Pink said...

sorry, meant to say 'the big picture' of where the oil price is heading.

Brandt said...

Oh, I'm sorry. I stick to securities, but I can probably figure out the conversion for you after market hours.