For those who still do not understand, a negative divergence occurs when price moves up or is measured at two relative points that are the same in price. 3C is either moving down or not confirming the relative second high. This is the process of distribution, meaning smart money is selling into that rally, s you are best off usually not to chase it.
At the point I posted the last negative divergence, an uptrend that had been in effect since about 11:45, went into a double top, the first time in the trend. After the close, we can see why. Smart money is a lot more informed (i.e. "The Whisper Number") then you could ever imagine. Bill Gross from Pimco let some Fed news slip live on CNBC long before the Fed announced it, probably because Bill Gross could move the economy with Pimco if he wanted to.
In any case, IBM has been take to the woodshed in after hours and had thus far erased the gains it made in the last 8 DAYS! The DIA is significantly lower then when I printed the last market divergence around 3 p.m. , the SPY has just about erased all of today's gains and the Q's have not only taken out today, but a chunk of Friday as well.
This is after hours, so there are no victory laps being taken here, it's just useful to understand what 3C is really god at showing, the underlying sentiment of a trend.
Is interest rates about to start going up?
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Yes, I know - it does not make any sense - FED is about to cut
rates...but....real world interest rates are not always what FED wants it
to be.
5 years ago
4 comments:
What happened to the SPY at close?
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=SPY
Flashy crashy?
Mine was printing something similar into the close with a closing price of 106 and change. I just went back to check and it has been correct now, but shows a good sell off right after the close
Anybody else showing a flash on the Spy at 11:08 as well?
Well, that 'flash crash' is going to throw off the RSI, MACD indicators on a lot of charting sites. Needs correct really.
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