Here's the Baltic Dry Shipping Rates, normally it's quite volatile, however this index has been falling for quite some time which is in itself an indication of global shipping demand of dry goods. Even if we consider there are more dry ships available and attribute the fall in prices to that, it's still not good for a shipping company. If we add the increased cost of fuel, it's even worse. This is a sector that could be a prime candidate for a margin squeeze.
Here's the distribution on the first test of resistance (far left), then distribution a few weeks ago and apparent distribution on this bounce.
This 1 min chart is showing a minor positive divergence developing which could be the key to the trade's setup.
If we can get a move into or above the white rectangle, it's highly likely it would be a false move and an excellent area to short DRYS with minimal risk.
Here's the long term Trend Chanel, so far, it is in a downtrend.
Remember, there's two possible setups, the outright break of the lower trendline on the daily chart or a false breakout mentioned just above.
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