The SPY broke below the lower trendline, an obvious stop level.
This looked very much like an intentional move. As I pointed out in my last market post, there seems to be a consistent pattern of positive divergences or accumulation at the lower trendline of this obvious price pattern.
This is the obvious price pattern and I still believe the most probable outcome will be an upside breakout from the triangle. I'd also be very wary of that breakout and suspect it will end up turning into a bull trap/false breakout.
However it can be used tactically to enter inverse or short positions that you may have your eye on.
Is interest rates about to start going up?
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Yes, I know - it does not make any sense - FED is about to cut
rates...but....real world interest rates are not always what FED wants it
to be.
5 years ago
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