Tuesday, December 6, 2011

Iran Tensions Build

This is a screen capture from the DrudgeReport, which is not the pinnacle of cutting edge news releases, but more a gathering of top stories, but when they have even picked up on this, there's obviously something going on.


For more, from the TeleGraph UK:

Iran's Revolutionary Guards prepare for war

Iran’s Revolutionary Guards have been put on a war footing amid increasing signs that the West is taking direct action to cripple Iran’s nuclear programme.


An order from Gen Mohammed Ali Jaafari, the commander of the guards, raised the operational readiness status of the country’s forces, initiating preparations for potential external strikes and covert attacks.
Western intelligence officials said the Islamic Republic had initiated plans to disperse long-range missiles, high explosives, artillery and guards units to key defensive positions.

The Iranian leadership fears the country is being subjected to a carefully co-ordinated attack by Western intelligence and security agencies to destroy key elements of its nuclear infrastructure.
Recent explosions have added to the growing sense of paranoia within Iran, with the regime fearing it will be the target of a surprise military strike by Israel or the US.
Its ballistic missile programme suffered a major setback on Nov 12 after an explosion at the regime’s main missile testing facility at Bidganeh, about 30 miles west of Tehran.
Last week another mysterious explosion caused significant damage to Iran’s uranium conversion facility at Isfahan.
“It looks like the 21st century form of war,” said Patrick Clawson of the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, a Washington think tank, told the Los Angeles Times. “It does appear that there is a campaign of assassinations and cyber war, as well as the semi-acknowledged campaign of sabotage.”
Gen Jaafari responded to this directive by ordering Revolutionary Guards units to redistribute Iran’s arsenal of long-range Shahab missiles to secret sites around the country where they would be safe from enemy attack and could be used to launch retaliatory attacks.
In addition, the Iranian air force has formed a number of “rapid reaction units”, which have been carrying out extensive exercises to practice a response to an enemy air attack.
These are exactly the two explosions that have been talked about here at WOWS multiple times, they are simply way too ironic to have an advanced missle base destroyed as well as a component of their nuclear program. I posted the latest Stratfor Naval Update with a US Carrier Battle group sitting right off the coast, I'm sure there are a lot of tomahawk underwater assets in the area as well. If it seems a little too strange, there's probably something more to it then what we have been led to believe.

So far, here's USO's reaction...
USO vs the SPY-so far it's a pretty muted reaction, which has been very curious lately.

The market absolutely abhors uncertainty, thus the saying, "When the missiles fly, it's time to buy" as I have explained before, it's not because the market specifically likes war, it's just the build up to war creates uncertainty, and once it starts, the uncertainty is removed so we'll be watching for market reaction here as well. This could shape up to be a real December to remember! 





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