Tuesday, January 31, 2012

CASE-SHILLER MISSES

Released on 1/31/2012 9:00:00 AM For Nov, 2011
PriorConsensusConsensus RangeActual
20-city, SA - M/M-0.6 %-0.4 %-1.1 % to 0.0 %-0.7 %
20-city, NSA - M/M-1.2 %-1.3 %
20-city, NSA - Yr/Yr-3.4 %-3.7 %

 As you can see the CS Home Price Index has missed again, this is the 7th decline in a row. Of 20 cities, all but 3 contracted. The composite index is now at the same levels seen in February of 2003.

David Blitzer, chairman of the index committee at Standard & Poor's, said in a statement. "The trend is down and there are few, if any, signs in the numbers that a turning point is close at hand."


So is SRS finally worth a trade? It's kind of unreal that this ETF has done so poorly considering the environment.


 Recent capitulation?

 Intraday gap

 30 min 3C accumulation

 15 min 3C accumulation

 5 min 3C accumulation



The red arrow is the pivot, the next day is the siganl candle with a long at a break of that day's highs which came yesterday. A stop can be placed below the pivot lows around $32.00 (I'd use $31.90).

I think SRS may be worth a shot here, I would initially treat it as a swing trade and let the market tell you where it is going, if it offers more then a swing trade, a trailing stop can be put in place.

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