Today s certainly seemingly slow, but often our best insights in to the market are in fleeting glimpses.
Rates are selling off hard, the market usually is attracted to rates like a magnet, take a look at the longer term chart.
Rates and the SPX were in lockstep on the October rally, which had strong 3C accumulation, since they fell out and the market took a sharp downside correction, through the last area in the red box not only have they diverged/dislocated badly, but are at multi-year lows now.
The correlation between the SPX/Market and the Euro has been totally shut down today, which is odd being they have tracked so well recently, I mentioned earlier why I think this is happening and the disappointing GDP today I think is no coincidence.
Here's the normal correlation, note today's distinct change in character.
Commodities which have a tight correlation to FX markets are responding in general to the Euro, Equites however have been shut down completely.
Is interest rates about to start going up?
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Yes, I know - it does not make any sense - FED is about to cut
rates...but....real world interest rates are not always what FED wants it
to be.
5 years ago
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