XLF intraday went negative around 2 p.m.
XLF intraday 2 min is leading negative.
The 5 min is leading negative at a new low (sell / short in to strength)
On the longer charts, pay attention to where they went negative and the subsequent action. Here around the 2/3 is where the divergence culminated and XLF has been leading negative since.
The same can be seen on the 30 min chart, again around 2/3/12
It is especially sharp on the 60 min chart, again, remember 2/3/2012.
Here is the momentum in XLF from the lows that started the most recent leg up on12/19 through 2/3 for return of 20%
From 2/3 until present, the return is 1.22%, this is 19 trading days (remember we had a holiday) so that equals 4 trading weeks, right at the same time the divergence grew very sharp and since 2/3 3C has been leading negative.
Is interest rates about to start going up?
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Yes, I know - it does not make any sense - FED is about to cut
rates...but....real world interest rates are not always what FED wants it
to be.
5 years ago
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