I say early because until about 10:30 -11 a.m. there's a lot of game playing in the market, taking advantage of overnight or pre-market limit orders before people head off for work, I use to not even bother looking at the market before 10:30 because of this many times.
As I mentioned and kind of suspected last night, NFLX's guidance is weighing on the Tech sector, it is evident in the averages themselves: DIA +.79, IWM +.71%, QQQ -.22%, NFLX -13.54%, SPY +.47%. For this early in the day, the market seems a little ahead of itself. Averages such as the DOW do seem to be responding to the Euro divergence I pointed out last night and the Dow in particular is running ahead of the EUR/USD correlation. This would cause me to expect a bit of profit taking in some of the higher moving averages this morning and that is what 3C is showing.
DIA 1 min is seeing one of the worst intraday divergences, for a period of so much uncertainty, I thin some profits are being taken on this strength.
The DIA 2 min is having trouble confirming the upside move this morning, it's moving in the right direction, but seems to be telling us the Dow is getting ahead of itself.
The 5 min has less noise and more short term trend, again it's having trouble confirming the move up this much, this early on market wide uncertainty.
The IWM is seeing a 1 min negative as well on its early strength, not a huge deal, just I think we'll see some backing and filling here.
The IWM 2 min is showing the same
As is the 5 min.
I started with the 2 min chart on the Q's because it is still showing the strength that has been building the last day or so.
The 1 min chart which is clearly much more negative than any other average I believe is reacting to the NFLX earnings.
QQQ 5 min looks like it wants to hang around this area a bit longer, maybe to accumulate some more, maybe its trepidation in front of AAPL earnings after seeing NFLX's guidance last night.
QQQ 15 min is still strong, I wonder if they know something we don't yet?
The SPY isn't running quite as high, but still seeing that early 1 min divergence
The 2 min is pretty much in line
The 5 min remains strong in the SPY.
So far the market does look like it wants to move higher, but is definitely cautious ahead of tomorrow.
Is interest rates about to start going up?
-
Yes, I know - it does not make any sense - FED is about to cut
rates...but....real world interest rates are not always what FED wants it
to be.
5 years ago
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