Thursday, June 14, 2012

FB Steadily grinding higher.

FB seemed to be the most hated stock, the sentiment around the stock was very sour, yet we noticed something in FB which has sent it up 9% since, I don't know about all member positions, but I know a few have made over 40% with Calls.

Here's the update for the FB long position.

 Although I prefer a bit wider stop, there's not enough history to go beyond the 60 min Trend Channel, which is a proprietary indicator (the first I won an award for) that tracks the recent volatility in a stock and creates a channel that defines 'normal behavior". Several days ago the stop was below $26, it has now moved up to $27.20 and has held several consolidations without triggering any stop outs on the spec. long.

 The 1 min chart shows the head fake move to the left above the triangle which we expected and predicted before it happened, now we have a leading positive divergence this a.m. on the 1 min.

 The 2 min shows the same features and is leading positive.

 The 15 min has been leading positive for some time and these longer term charts suggest quite a bit more upside for FB.

Here's the 30 min in a leading positive divergence.  I have some speculative July calls in FB in the green, I intend to hold them unless something changes, but I suspect FB is on the verge of an upside breakout and short squeeze. For now, the indicators have done a good job of keeping us in the trade.

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