Here are the charts I mentioned in the A.M. Update...
NQ 5 min continuing deterioration
ES continuing deterioration, this is nothing unexpected for these two.
However the 5 min TF chart has gone from leading positive to in line to leading negative since Monday which iis practically break-neck speed compared to what we've seen with past bounces which is why I wondered before the bounce started, whether this would be the typical sentiment changing strong bounce we had seen in the past or simply a normal bounce within a downtrend as the Russell 2000 has moved lower off the right shoulder, I put up charts depicting what I was talking about which looked like this...
This is what I suspected after seeing how weak the SPY/QQQ bounce attempts were last week, the IWM simply making a series of lower highs, lower lows or a downtrend much like what we saw off the right side of the head (yellow box to the left) which still requires a bounce . The IWM was down well over 6% before the bounce started so it was a reasonable area for such a bounce.
Now even the 15 min TF chart is being effected.
This is the AUD/JPY momentum lift overnight (purple) vs. R2K futures...
And the 1 min intraday TF chart in to the open
The ES chart 1 min in to the open and...
The NQ chart which was the only one in line (confirming the price trend) which is holding up the best since the open.
I have reason to believe AUD/JPY sponsorship is likely to fall off.
The AUD futures on a 1 min chart...
AUD losing some steam on the 3C chart intraday...
On the 5 min chart you can see the positive divegrence that started the ignition and a leading negative migrating over to the 5 min chart.
Is interest rates about to start going up?
-
Yes, I know - it does not make any sense - FED is about to cut
rates...but....real world interest rates are not always what FED wants it
to be.
5 years ago
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