Could the knee jerk reaction be ending already?
As you know, last night I posted the start of NQ divergences showing that the knee jerk move was going to lose some air, this morning things look a bit different, however in some areas, damage or results of yesterday, may stick regardless, the $USD specifically, but we'll look closer at that in a bit.
I suspect the parabolic knee jerk sees a knee drop which has already started. However this was already warned about in advance so it wouldn't be much of a surprise, more of a concept.
EUR/USD which gained nearly 400 pips has retraced most of it, but has a small positive divergence.
The 1 min $USD which regained most of its loss also has a negative divergence confirming.
And the Euro has a positive, although this looks to be less about the Euro and more the F_E_D targeted $USD.
Index Futures...
ES 1 min, but in line!
NQ 1 min also in line
And TF 1 min with a small positive.
at 5 min the NQ chart sustained a lot of damage..
As has the ES 7 min chart and as we know...
TF 10 min looks horrible as do ES and NQ.
So do I think we see the knee jerk continue to retrace? I did before it even started.
Is interest rates about to start going up?
-
Yes, I know - it does not make any sense - FED is about to cut
rates...but....real world interest rates are not always what FED wants it
to be.
5 years ago
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