Monday, February 13, 2012

Market Update

This is the first market update thus far today because there didn't really seem to be much going on that was hinting at one direction or another until I looked at it with a bit longer perspective.

Thursday 3C clearly warned about Friday's drop...
 SPY's negative and then leading negative divergence on Thursday warned of Friday's drop. A small positive divergence late Friday formed, I assume this may have been part of a gap fill set up, however today the 2 min chart CANNOT confirm the gap up and remains at Friday's levels.


 Here's the DIA also warning on Thursday and a late day positive divergence, again probably connected to a gap fill as no gaps are left unfilled anymore, however the DIA is moving this afternoon toward a new leading negative low, below that of Thursday/Friday.

 Here's a closer look at the same chart intraday today.


 That chart has leaked in to the next timeframe at 2 mins, you can see the severe deterioration on Thursday followed by Friday's drop and a negative divergence today in the afternoon. The fact that the faster chart is worse and bleeding in to the slower chart is significant.

 Here's a close up of the same chart intraday.

 Here's the DIA 5 min that warned Thursday, again on Friday at intraday highs in the mid afternoon and again today.

 I have pointed out the IWM's 5 min trend as it is leading negative, you can see that the IWM is still not in line, but on the same trajectory as the 3C trend.

 QQQ 2 min wanring on Thursday and is leading negative today with a relative negative divergence this afternoon, still in leading negative position.

Here's a close up of the same chart today.

I'm going to take a look at some of the Industry groups next as well as GLD/SLV.

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