Friday, March 16, 2012

Credit is getting smoked today

First the CONTEXT Model for VIX and SPY


According to Capital Context's model, the VIX is still undervalued at these levels


 Their SPY Arbitrage Model shows the SPY as being overvalued here, the model is green, the SPY is red.

Now for credit, forget risk assets and sector rotation, take a look at this...

 High Yield Credit is selling off hard

 HY Credit hasn't moved higher with the SPX all week, in fact it has moved lower, but today's move is truly scary.

 High Yield Corp. Credit is doing the same, selling off hard.

It has been selling off ever since the breakout , but today is an extreme move.

Although probably none of us trade credit, it is an excellent leading indicator for equities.

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