SPY 5 min chart with the gap from last Friday.
When we have intraday positive divergences like we have now (typically the 1-3 and sometimes 5 min charts), we generally see corrections, that would be the best word for it. A correction can be through price or through time, price meaning a correction in price to the upside, most likely contained to the gap, or through time meaning a lateral consolidation. The short term intraday positive divergences that appeared later Friday have kept the market from falling and have thus far consolidated through time in a lateral motion.
There are still strong enough 1,2 3 (and even a 5 min here or there) min. divergences to move us in to the gap. The SPY/DIA look the best in this regard. The QQQ/IWM look the worst, perhaps that's why I favored the AAPL Puts today.
There's some deterioration in the strongest (SPY/DIA), but not enough that I would say this short term divergence episode is over. I don't mind the AAPL Put position because the episode looks more like noise than anything serious and the most visible divergence is still on the 15 min chart and even 30-60 min charts for a decent size pullback or "correction".
I'd like to take a look at the Euro, Dollar and the Risk Asset Layout before the close and of course AA to see if there are any interesting changes.
Is interest rates about to start going up?
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Yes, I know - it does not make any sense - FED is about to cut
rates...but....real world interest rates are not always what FED wants it
to be.
5 years ago
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