Just to answer a bunch of emails before I get them, YES, AAPL does look to be in trouble here.
The 3C distribution through the Euro i showed you yesterday. Also the set up that uses Technical Analysis against traders, we had a bullish sym. Triangle in white which is a trend consolidation/continuation pattern that should run at least as high as the trend preceding it, we have the head fake above $1.30 in yellow and as prices break below $1.30 and the apex of the triangle all those longs are now at a loss and selling. Remember the Euro is positively correlated with the market, meaning they almost always trade together whereas the $USD is inversely correlated, meaning they trade opposite each other.
The real problem is this leading negative 5 min chart that saw a lot of damage done yesterday that wasn't there last week when we expected a pullback early this week. In a way, the market owes us a pullback, smart money set up for it in the near term, however don't forget this should ONLY be a pullback, not a trend change as we have much larger, longer timeframe charts that are very positive so we can use this to look for longs at a discount and lower risk as well as the shorts on the way down.
IWM 1 min NO confirmation
The 10 min chart from accumulation to ugly distribution, a lot of damage was done yesterday.
QQQ 1 min, NO confirmation
Damage done on the 5 min QQQ chart
SPY 1 min looks like it is inline, but...
zoom out to the trend and it is leading negative.
Also significant short term damage on the 10 min chart.
We have a long day ahead of us still so i wouldn't expect any straight line moves, expect volatility, but near term probabilities are very high for a pullback.
No comments:
Post a Comment