The charts shown yesterday for GLD, Trade Idea (speculative) GLD / DGLD really don't look that bad, as you may recall, I expected a sharp, fast decline this morning and used DGLD (3x short gold ETF) to ride that out. I expected essentially to be closing DGLD some time probably today and looking in to a possible UGLD (3x long GLD) position, likely in bigger size as well, but as for right now, I don't see any reason as of yet to close DGLD other than the wild card event of the minutes at 2 p.m., but even if I had to a +3% gain for a hour or two of exposure isn't anything to cry over.
GLD's divergence was fast forming and sharp, but contained to the shorter intraday timeframes, thus I'm not expecting a big move which is why I chose the 3x leverage of DGLD (3x short GLD).
I suspect this divergence though, should provide more downside.
Thus far intraday gold futures are in line with the move down, so again, right now I don't see any reason to close the position other than the wild card event of the minutes which I feel a bit less certain about how it will effect precious metals than equities given any particular outcome (hawkish or dovish).
For now I'll stay with the charts.
Is interest rates about to start going up?
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Yes, I know - it does not make any sense - FED is about to cut
rates...but....real world interest rates are not always what FED wants it
to be.
5 years ago
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