I really haven't had enough time to look at everything I'd like to make a week ahead forecast. I'm thinking early price strength except perhaps in the IWM, but again I would not play this long, but rather use price strength to sell in to or short in to.
I would think the F_O_M_C would be the pivot event that changed the market's trend on Wednesday, but that seems a little too easy and predictable, however looking at the VXX charts and derivatives, that would seem reasonable.
More than anything as far as details and particulars, I think the most important aspect is that of continuing stage 4 DECLINE which I think breaks below the 2015 range and heads to the October lows and likely breaks those as well.
So any near term price strength that we may get and I do believe we will get it in to early next week and probably right in to the F_E_D and maybe a knee jerk reaction (with the IWM caveat), I think is best used from a risk and risk reward perspective to short in to. Beyond that, I think patience and not rushing in to anything until we have screaming short term signals will be key.
More will be on the way, just after the close.
Is interest rates about to start going up?
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Yes, I know - it does not make any sense - FED is about to cut
rates...but....real world interest rates are not always what FED wants it
to be.
5 years ago
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