Now that you know most people are not expecting QE3, but Operation Twist (can't you just hear Chubby Checker?) , lets take a look at some treasuries, this is more for a learning experiment then anything after we see what the Fed does as far as I'm concerned.
IEF 1 min 7-10 year where some buying is expected, a negative divergence
IEF 5 min, slight 2 day accumulation and a negative divergence in to a parabolic rise.
IEF 10 min, positive divergence and in line, as if the selling started today, or distribution rather.
IEF 15 min
IEF zoomed out 15 min seems to have a negative divergence
IEI 3-7 year 15 min, was in line, now negative in to the rise.
SHY 15 min 1-3 year where Fed selling is expected, negative divergence
TLH 10-20 year 15 min with a negative divergence.
TLT 20+ year 15 min chart-in line. If Twist happens, my guess would be it targets longer duration treasuries.
Is interest rates about to start going up?
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Yes, I know - it does not make any sense - FED is about to cut
rates...but....real world interest rates are not always what FED wants it
to be.
5 years ago
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