Wednesday, November 9, 2011

Back in the USSA

Wholesale inventories were released about an hour ago... in a nutshell, "Not good".


Released on 11/9/2011 10:00:00 AM For Sep, 2011
PriorConsensusConsensus RangeActual
Inventories - M/M change0.4 %0.6 %0.3 % to 0.8 %-0.1 %
As you can see, this driver of US GDP missed consensus badly (.6% with the previous at .4%) coming in at a negative -.1%

This would be the first time Wholesale Inventories (something that has propped up GDP for several years) has declined month over month since December of 2009.

I should also point out the 2010-2011 trend is alarming as with any other trend, a series of lower highs and lower lows is a downtrend, with both lower highs and lower lows in place, this doesn't bode well for US GDP.

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