This a.m., the TBT trade is off to a decent start...
As for TLT (Ultra-long 20+ year treasuries)
The TLT 1 min chart is still in line with a downside move.
As is the 3 min chart
TBT confirms with a leading positive on the 3 min chart
As well as the 5 min chart.
A move out of treasuries typically signifies a shift of assets in to a more risk on, bullish market environment, however as I mentioned yesterday, the F_O_M_C policy statement that would seem to be obviously good for long term treasuries, may be too obvious and this may be a sell the news event.
In either case, the trade is working thus far, I consider it short term or a swing trade until the charts tell me otherwise (whether that be that the TBT long is ending or getting stronger).
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