Bank of America's latest analysis warns of the market's poor breadth, specifically the Percentage of NYSE stocks below their 200 day moving average. They are just catching on now? I have been featuring breadth posts the entire year at a clip of about 2 a week, recently much more, even in last night's Daily Wrap and not just 1 metric, but this article shows BOFA has caught on to something that has been structurally breaking down for the entirety of 2013.
I don't know why it makes me so angry, perhaps because the dimwit who finally figured this out is likely making six figures a year more than I am and the person didn't even do a decent job in covering the totality of market breadth. Maybe it's because this person says that at 69% of NYSE stocks above their 200-day moving average, this has historically correlated with pullbacks of 15-20% over the last several years and it would take a reading below 60% to signal something more dire.
Maybe get your information correct?
In green, Percentage of NYSE stocks trading above their 200-day moving average, currently at 50.86% (SPX in red)
Is interest rates about to start going up?
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Yes, I know - it does not make any sense - FED is about to cut
rates...but....real world interest rates are not always what FED wants it
to be.
5 years ago
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