I'd say that yesterday's afternoon positive divergences and "Picking up where 3C left off" has worked again.
There's already signs of weakness and while it's too early to expect the 5 min charts to have made any definitive moves, there are some hints sprouting up.
First the typical levers and some of the late day moves that suggested a bounce today... VXX, TLT which was losing ground near the bond market close yesterday and HYG which is up and acting as a ramping mechanism, but still in to distribution like yesterday.
TLT's late day divergence yesterday which sends TLT lower and yields in support of the market (higher) today, still not a big divegrence and the 5 min TLT is still in line on the upside trend.
VXX negative 1 min
HYG neg. 1 min, but it's price that matters as a ramping mechanism which is up today.
As for the averages...
SPY 1 min is in line.
like yesterday, the 2 min chart still has not turned in support of the 1 min chart and this may be the undoing of the 5 min charts, but...
As of yet, that hasn't happened in SPY.
QQQ 1 min late day positive and losing a little steam intraday today on the gap up.
Again, the 2 min chart has no support, this is why I suspected a move higher early today that may start to fail not so long after.
The 5 min chart isn't telling us anything yet.
However...
The IWM 1 min never went positive yesterday and is leading negative intraday.
Again the 2 min chart here looks horrible.
The one difference...
There are early signs of the 5 min chart possibly coming apart so we will keep looking for this in the other averages and see what assets are maybe coming in to a target zone for a decent trade set-up.
Is interest rates about to start going up?
-
Yes, I know - it does not make any sense - FED is about to cut
rates...but....real world interest rates are not always what FED wants it
to be.
5 years ago
No comments:
Post a Comment