In any case, it looks like once the max pain options expiration pin is released, normally around 2 pm, there will be an attempt to close this morning's gap, perhaps more intraday, it's not of much concern as the market has been ruthless about filling gaps.
Again the leader pointing to this probability is the QQQ, the SPY and IWM have slight improvements in that direction, but without the QQQ signal I'd never have suspected that the SPY/IWM would make a gap fill move toward the afternoon/close.
Here are some example charts...
QQQ 1 min leading, there is migration intraday now...
QQQ 2 min starting to lead.
QQQ 3 min starting to lead.
As for the SPY...
1 min is pretty much still in line intradayAs is the next timeframe at 2 min
The IWM actually has a slight negative tone...
IWM 1 min
IWM 2 min in line then slightly negative
As is the IWM 3 min chart.
Perhaps the best evidence though is the NYSE TICK chart...
Note the improvement intraday as the afternoon wears on.
However we can't forget this is intraday and it is common for price to act randomly during the last 2 hours after the pin is released, a gap fill makes sense.
The bigger picture...
QQQ 10 min also hitting a new leading negative low today.
And SPY 10 min also hitting a new leading negative low today.
I'll be back shortly.
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