Tuesday, June 14, 2011

Market Update

 DIA 1 min, Still negatively divergent, there's some slight improvement recently. This could be more of a consolidation then pullback. Stocks consolidate in one of two ways, through price or through time, thus far this has been a consolidation through time.

 The 5 min chart still looks like it wants to pulback.

 For any one holding long positions, the DIA has improved and should have upside during the days ahead.

 QQQ 1 min. is still negatively divergent.

 QQQ 5 min is close to inline, but slightly negative.

 The 60 min chart again shows there should be more to this bounce then just a 1 day wonder.

 The SPY briefly hit a new high, volume didn't pick up much so I don't think it's the false breakout we'd expect to see before a pullback.

 The SPY 1 min 3C chart looks like there was some distribution at that minor breakout I mentioned, we'll see, but it seems like a pullback is still in order.

 The SPY 5 min chart seems to support the pullback view.

 The IWM also saw a slight breakout above resistance with a negative divergence there. Since the IWM has gone into a consolidation triangle.


The daily chart in the IWM is now positive, which is quite an achievement for a bounce. This is why I think this bounce will have some legs.

USO has gone negatively divergent at the highs. We should see some downside/pullback there.

If I'm holding long positions already, I'm inclined to hold during a pullback and maybe add a little. If I'm flat, I'd prefer a pullback to go long, but in the big picture, I don't think it will matter too much whether you wait for a pullback or pick up some shares here.

A Pullback just allows us better positioning at less risk.

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