I expected Energy yesterday to start to rotate out, it has seen a decent day today, the price charts are one thing, but they lag the underlying action.
First XOM's risk profile here is well within my tolerance, even if they can get a head fake move above this long range, that's why I saved 25% of the position, it has decent strength today on the whole to short in to.
All of the short term charts are falling apart fast - 1 min
2 min
3 min
5 min
For me, it's worth the risk here with the extra room I still have in the position and its near the top of the range.
Energy/XLE
Seeing the same weakness on the short charts 1 min
Deep leading negative 2 min
leading negative 3 min
same on the 5 min
And a very strong relative negative divergence on the 15 min. Energy to me looks to be at a good place to short considering some probable sector rotation.
Is interest rates about to start going up?
-
Yes, I know - it does not make any sense - FED is about to cut
rates...but....real world interest rates are not always what FED wants it
to be.
5 years ago
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