Wednesday, October 3, 2012

AAPL- Bellwether

I look at AAPL for trades and as a Bellwether, it obviously was responsible for yesterday's lift even against a rising dollar in the afternoon on positive divergences. There's the start of some interesting behavior developing right now. Remember I thought AAPL would need to consolidate a bit and the market obliged it? This will have to be confirmed in the market averages and will need to hold through the rest of the day if not improve, but if it does, then we likely see upside (AAPL and the market)  tomorrow off the ECB event.

 AAPL's positive yesterday, the migration of the negative divergence today reached the 5 min chart and has kept AAPL lateral since.

 Remember the concern or thing to watch was if the 10 min chart which is where the real positive divergence suggesting AAPL move higher (and thus the market drafts AAPL) can be found, would see deterioration migrate through the timeframes; it didn't, it stopped at 5 min. And now...

 The 1 min chart is moving back in to   positive action as AAPL drifts lower and 3C moves higher. This is just a 1 min chart and just a start, but it suggests that AAPL is doing what I said I thought it needed to earlier, consolidate.

 While the earlier damage from the 2 min chart is still there with a leading negative divergence, the 1 min chart is starting to bleed through and 3C is moving up.

The same is just starting on the 3 min chart.



No comments: