I won't go in to the nitty gritty just now, but as far as I can tell, the RBA leaving rates unchanged at 2.75% overnight seems to have re-ignited the USD/JPY carry trade-risk, unbelievably, which lifted ES overnight, However, I do think what is done is done and it doesn't seem to be helping much now any more.
USD/JPY overnight lifts ES.... but
Can't hold it....
We'll find out soon enough if the correlation with FX has flipped the 4th or 5th time in less than 2 weeks.
As far as I'm concerned, we are still perfectly on track.
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