From Friday, a USO Dec. $35 Call position was opened. These are the charts of USO from Friday...
And the $USD which has a Historical Legacy Arbitrage that most are familiar with as oil is a $USD denominated asset, meaning the lower the $USD goes, the higher oil must go in response or vice versa. I also thought there was a good chance for gold to have a near term bounce that I said may be "Misleading", this too could be effected by a change in the $USD, but for now lets look at oil and the $USDX.
This is the $USDX 15 min chart with a negative divegrence after being up since 10/27
This is the near term 5 min chart (better for timing) also going negative on the $USDX suggesting lower $USD prices to come, which should push oil higher.
This is the 15 min Crude futures with a building relative positive divegrence and...
The oil 5 min chart with a building positive divegrence so I do like oil at least for a move using those December $USO calls.
I still like the December $35 USO calls at this area and think they'll see some decent upside, I do think a 2x leveraged ETF (oil) can do fairly well too.
The $USD movement could have some obvious positive effects on gold as shown short term last week so we'll check in to those as well.
Is interest rates about to start going up?
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Yes, I know - it does not make any sense - FED is about to cut
rates...but....real world interest rates are not always what FED wants it
to be.
5 years ago
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