Last week we saw some divergences in UNG which looked strong enough to bring it down, especially considering the wide-legged Doji-Star right at resistance of the large base.
We also saw a short term corrective bounce-looking divergence forming Friday. Some of you want to add to UNG shorts, for me the DGAZ long position is at full size, I try not to average down losing trades, even if it looks like they are turning in my favor. If I were to, the only question that need be answered is, "Is this the best looking possible trade to put assets toward right now?"Usually there's a better looking trade somewhere and ultimately my goal is to make the most of the assets that are put to work in the market. Don't get me wrong, I still want to see the DGAZ position do well, but unless I planned to average in to the position as part of my risk management BEFORE the trade, I think it's a bad habit to dollar cost average.
That being said, here's what we have in UNG thus far this morning.
UNG 3 min chart looking like a distribution area at the top, to the right is the corrective -looking divergence from Friday, it already has a small negative today to the far right.
On a 1 min chart which will show more detail faster, the positive from Friday is already seeing negative divergences form to the right side.
This looks to be migrating to the 2 min chart, but 3C needs to pivot down to lock that in.
Even if this does lock in, I would require some stronger signals as this is still very early before I added to a UNG TRADING short position, but there are definitely some signs it's moving that way, just not strong enough yet in my opinion to take the risk.
Is interest rates about to start going up?
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Yes, I know - it does not make any sense - FED is about to cut
rates...but....real world interest rates are not always what FED wants it
to be.
5 years ago
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