Remember the VXX / UVXY potential trade idea from earlier today, well from this market update it is looking more likely to be the kind of trade I would want to enter (not a day trade, but worthwhile with some leverage, but I'll post VXX next).
The charts seem to show what I expected yesterday, a pullback coming, but likely to form a little larger base than just yesterday's half a day, that would make VXX a decent quick trade or UVXY (both long or calls). The 5 min charts for the averages aren't seeing near term damage today and this is why I think a pullback to widen yesterday's foot print is likely.
DIA 1 min intraday negative looks like a pullback as expected late yesterday is becoming high probability.
With only a 1 min chart negative there's about a 50/50 chance it's a consolidation or pullback (time vs price), buy when a 2 min or longer chart is also divegrnet, the probabilities go way up toward a pullback rather than consolidation.
And the DIA 3 min, as I said, no damage to 5 min charts intraday.
IWM 1 min leading negative, it got a head start late yesterday, but it's still a valid signal.
QQQ 3 mins leading negative, a pullback at this point looks very likely and VXX/UVXY should bounce a bit on the pullback.
SPY 1 min leading negative divergence
SPY 3 min
Again, no 5 min so I think this is a constructive pullback for a little wider foot print, but we won't know that for sure until we see a pullback and confirm accumulation, otherwise it's likely nervousness in front of tomorrow's F_O_M_C, either way, VXX should see some upside, those charts are coming next.
Is interest rates about to start going up?
-
Yes, I know - it does not make any sense - FED is about to cut
rates...but....real world interest rates are not always what FED wants it
to be.
5 years ago
No comments:
Post a Comment