This is more geared toward intraday analysis at this point.
The SPY 1 min intraday has pretty much deteriorated pretty rapidly since I mentioned the appearance of the start of the first negative divergence, it's clearly leading negative and on this timeframe is a strong intraday signal.
The real health of a divergence (and as stated many times this week- ALL new divergences regardless of timeframe, start on the fastest or shortest timeframe charts first) as most of you know is the migration effect of moving from a short timeframe to a longer one which is a stronger divergence and shows the typical pattern of strengthening of that divergence.
The trend of the 1 min chart is important also because we did have some interesting divergences prior to this week, but as I mentioned early this week, the intraday moves this week have been very sharp and stronger/larger than usual.
This is the intraday 2 min moving from in line to the start of migration to the next timeframe (recently this week it's been about an hour to migrate from 1 intraday timeframe to the next).
This is the 1 min XLF trend that has also seen some very sharp moves this week.
intraday 1 min today is showing a negative and start of a leading negative divergence building from a VERY late in the day positive near yesterday's close.
Intraday the 5 min chart hasn't seen movement yet, it has to go through 2 min, 3 min then 5 min, but again the trend recently has been very sharp to the downside.
Is interest rates about to start going up?
-
Yes, I know - it does not make any sense - FED is about to cut
rates...but....real world interest rates are not always what FED wants it
to be.
5 years ago
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