Thursday, December 13, 2012

Continuing Indications

This was mentioned several times in connection with the QQQ's range which is one of the last that has not been taken care of, which is why I believe this entire shift since last Tuesday took place, initially the IWM was the most obvious area to see a run through the stops, now the QQQ is pretty much the last holdout.

I talked about it in last night's market wrap post, mentioning the 1 min positives that could be there for exactly this reason...

"However there are a few charts that have 1 min positives, it's not much and it may be nothing, but it may be enough to move the market a bit more and clean up the QQQ breakout that is a bit ambiguous right now."

This is the area I'm talking about and it looks like early on, the market (specifically the Q's which are leading the 4 major averages easily at this moment) is moving toward that area.

 QQQ range/resistance area, there are bound to be a lot of BTC and Limit orders there as well as orders placed on a break above that level so just as the very visible IWM range was a magnet for prices, so too is this QQQ resistance area, although nowhere near as big as the IWM range.

As for the 1 min positive divergences in to the closing trade yesterday, any new move, even if it is just a small intraday move, will show up on the fastest charts first  (1 min.) and we saw that as I said above yesterday. Here's what those divergences look like as of a few minutes ago, all are developing, some that weren't there yesterday are there now and at least 1 average has seen this divergence migrate across a couple of longer timeframes, so as I said last night and in pre-market futures and early opening indications this morning, it does appear this is an important area and this could be part of the F_O_M_C knee-jerk reaction which was not well- defined yesterday. That reaction could be better defined today and it could reverse today (an early move up followed by a downside reversal would be perfect) as the September QE3 announcement saw a 1.5 day knee jerk reaction, first on the 13th and then half of the 14th before losing all momentum and that was the end of that knee-jerk move- 1.5 days.

 DIA 1 min adding to the positive divergence this a.m.

 DIA 2 min leading and almost all of it is from today alone. This looks impressive, but remember it's only a 2 min. chart.

 IWM 1 min holding together

 IWM 2 min like the DIA above with a 2 min leading almost entirely created today.

 IWM 3 min leading (this is the average with migration I mentioned).

 QQQ 1 min is building the strongest, it also saw the strongest move of all the averages this morning...

SPY 1 min adding to the divergence.

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