Still the SPY Arbitrage hasn't moved, although it's 30 mins delayed. As to the assets in the model, there's some movement there, I'm a little surprised the market hasn't done anything with it thus far...
SPY hasn't done much-yet, but the market was quiet for a while so I wouldn't call the game yet.
Yen/SPY correlation is helpful for the market...
Yen is dipping a bit, they're pretty close though.
Here's the Arb. assets, which I have expected some more upside action...
As expected TLT pulled a head fake move under support, it did get some stops and look at the accumulation of stops, I also said earlier, to accumulate it needed to head more laterally-sideways, it has done that as well, but it looks like a mini inverse H&S so a pullback here just as normal price action at the same time as HYG and VXX moving would be helpful for the market, even if it was short-lasting which I'd expect any move out of the triangle to be and under distribution.
VXX has a small intraday negative divergence within the larger leading positive, in my opinion that is NOT coincidence considering the triangles and the other assets and Yen threat.
The VXX 2 min is in line so the divergence there was small, just enough to turn it intraday.
HYG does have an intraday positive divergence at a relative area of support so this should be helpful to the market, with VXX down a bit, that's more help.
Finally the USD/JPY is moving up, more short term support for the market, lets see what it can do with it.
Is interest rates about to start going up?
-
Yes, I know - it does not make any sense - FED is about to cut
rates...but....real world interest rates are not always what FED wants it
to be.
5 years ago
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